Civil Unrest

Most TEC groups have participated in a process we call The New Normal. The New Normal exercise is a facilitated brainstorming process where TEC members identify things we know now that will be different in the future. Some of the bullet points typically include:

- Inflation

- Higher interest rates

- Higher taxes

- Smaller cars, houses and buildings

- Social media increasing role

- Globalization

- Energy costs more

- Health care costs more

- Green is good

Only a partial list, but you get the idea. The intent of the exercise is to give TEC members a little better visibility of the future. And, then, allow them the opportunity to prepare contingency plans in anticipation of "the new normal."

The most unusual item that makes the list of most of the TEC groups that run the exercise is "civil/social unrest." We started doing this exercise in June of 2009. Well in advance of the protests in Greece, Tunisia, Egypt, Libya and Madison, Wisconsin.

As a result of The New Normal exercise, most members prepared plans for higher raw material costs. Some members locked in low, long term interest rates. A few members actually paid taxes in advance rather than following the deferral strategy that has been in vogue for years. A handful heeded the civil unrest warning and prepared contingency plans - both professionally and personally.

We have now seen several businesses targeted with boycotts, union intimidation and previously unimaginable threats against some of the most respected companies in Wisconsin. Did they have a contingency plan for "civil/social unrest?" Does your firm have a plan for The New Normal?

If you would like a summary list of the bullet points that turned up on TEC's The New Normal list, please contact me.